Top Five Quarterback In The Draft.

NFL Draft: Top 5 Quarterback Draft

"IM Certainly Uncertain." JT O'Sullivan Of The QB SchoolNo Matter the quality Of Players Leaving College And Entering The Pros, Talking about Quarterbacks During the Draft Season Always Generates A "Debate." The Evolution Of The Passing Game, Changes In The Market, and The Demand for the Position means Comparing These So Young Men In Other Cases To Each Other. It reminds me of comparing phones on the market; if you get the best camera, maybe you sacrifice the best processor or hardware because some Teams won't get perfect. We Thought The Jags Got Perfect In Trevor Lawrence, that Hasn't Translated Just Yet. The Quarterback Free Agency Market Doesn't Exist. These Newbies Compete Amongst Themselves And Their Competing Through Elements I've Never Considered Before. The Extra COVID year Produced A Crop Of High-Level 23+-Year-Old Prospects Who Looked Great In College But Were Grown Men. The Age Matters Because If You Have Questions About Bo Nix—Which You Do—And Michigan's JJ McCarthy—Which You Do—You Lean Into The Younger Prospect, McCarthy Shouldn't You. The Caleb Williams—Drake Maye Debate, Mostly Generated By The Media Trying To Generate Conversation Surrounding The Draft. Is Maye More Mac Jones, Trevor Lawrence Justin Herbert, Josh Allen. Did Caleb Williams's Depressed Second Season In Southern California Hurt Him Overall? Caleb Still Goes Number One, Right? Jayden McDaniels Sits In Theo Middle, He's Old, But Statistically And Qualitatively, He Has The Least Question Marks—Maybe Frame. 

Caleb Williams—USC

From The Day He Debut, All Those Three Years Ago In Lincoln Riley's Final Season In Norman, Oklahoma, Theo Year Spencer Raddler Should've Ascended into The Heisman Conversation; Caleb Williams Had Special Written All Over Him. a Five Star Recruit Out Of DC Caleb Could Escape Pressure, Make The Big Throws And Eat Up Yardage Like A With A Football Play Sheet On His Sleeve. In Ten Games As A Freshman, Williams Produced Nearly 2000 Yards In 10 Games, 21 Touchdowns, and Four Interceptions. Caleb's Natural Feel For The Game and Flare Jump Off Of The Screen. After his freshman campaign, Caleb transferred to USC with Lincoln Riley and his first season in gold, and he only added substance to what Williams flashed in his rookie season. In His Sophomore Year, Caleb Produced His Magnus Opus with Possibly The Best compliment of Weapons Around Him In College, Williams Ripe Through The Big Stage In The Pac-12, Posting 4537 Yards, Average Air Yards Per Throw, 10.2,42 Touchdowns, Five Pick Passer Rating of 167.9. In His Sophomore Year, Williams Produced Eight Games Over 300 Yards And Three Over 400 Yards As USC Combed Through The PAC-12, Finishing 11-3 And Losing To Tulane In The Cotton Bowl. By Now, I Would Break Out The Epithets And Start Breaking Caleb's Game, The Way Heights Moves, How He Manipulates Defenders, How He Torches Coverages With Preternatural Accuracy, But Caleb Does These Things Naturally. How Well Or How Much Or If At All, Heights Processes The Field Will Only Reveal As His Game Becomes More Exposed To The Pros. He Played In An "Open" Air Raid advanced offense, A "Mentality" More Than A Play Book Designed For Players To "run up the gaudiest of numbers," and the style of Offense Explains Why USC scored Less Than 40 Points Just Twice In Caleb's Second Season. The Air Raid Offense produced Patrick Mahomes, but it also produced questions about Mahomes and whether his generational Takent could succeed when he encounters a "Real" pro offense. The Air Raid Offense Seeks To Stretch The Limits Of Offensive Football, But Last Season Lincoln Riley's Offense Got Cap Off. Caleb's Numbers Depressed, Only Reaching 400 Yards Once and The Big Games Against Ranked Opponents( Oregon, Washington, Utah, Notre Dame, ETC.) All Turned Up As Losses. The Trojans (USC) Started The Season Ranked Top 10 But Finished Outside Of The Top 25, And Caleb Exited College Without A Bowl In His Final Season. His Numbers Moderate: 3633 Passing Yards, 30 Touchdowns, A QBR Of 82.4, a beat Completion Percentage of 68.3%, An Adjusted Completion Of 77.5%, And 1342 Deep Yards In His Final Season. He will have at most 3.16 seconds to work with. In the pros, consider that neither two teams at the top of the draft have good or consistent offensive line play. With Caleb, your teams are banking on his talent and natural feeling for Theo's game to supersede any questions about the offensive system.  

Williams Ate 83 Sacks in his college career, which is a lot. 

Drake Maye—UNC 

For Some People, The Classics Will Always Hold A Greater Appeal Than, Say, A Flashier Model, Whether We are Speaking Of Cars, Watches, or quarterbacks. Drake Maye has that classic feel to his game. It is a prototype that best describes the game of the North Carolina product. Maye Left School After Two Years Starting With Two Years Of Eligibility. Remaining In College Play With Alone Helps Him Stand Out. If You're Looking For A Tall, Bazooka Armed, Pocket Awareness With A Touch Of Creativity When The Need Arises—Honestly, Who Isn't?—Drake Mayes's Your Guy. Playing At North Carolina, Maye Played In A Pro Style Offense, Which Could Mean A lot Of Things But Usually Means Reading Progressions, Operating From The Pocket, And Largely Not Winning Over With Talent and Superior Athleticism. Pro Systems Require A Lot of Timing and anticipation, and Arm Strength Doesn't Hurt; Maye Presents All Of These Attributes. Maye Can Hit All Of The Throw With Variances Across The Field Like Most QBs. He Compares Well To Justin Herbert, With Slightly Less Juice In His Arm; Neither Has A Great Leveler On Their Arm. Both quarterbacks have to throw far or short, and Maye's average depth of target from last season ended at 11 yards. Online Quarterback Scouts Almost Beg Drake Maye To Under-throw A Pass Or Two. He's equally Capable of letting his arm sway him into the wrong read or estimating the skill of the talent around. His Arm Strength has come Up For Debate As The 33rd Team Has Reported His Arm Strength As "…closer to average than elite." When I Watched May Play, I Didn't See Much to Debate. 

Of Course, He Played North Carolina, The Basketball School, For The Most Part; Maye Has Very Little Pro Talent To Lean On Most Saturdays. His most noticeable talent at receiver during his pro career was Josh Downs, who played for the Colts last season. His Propensity For The Long Shot Helped Him Produce The Second Most Deep Yards In College Football. Even Though He's Coming Out of UNC, Maye Doenst's Project has The Same Processing Issues That Essentially Derailed Mitch Trubisky. Mayes has Shown Comfortableity With Processing Multiple Reads, Even If That Means He Suffered A Sack Or Two Along The Way. Maye, Like Trubisky And Howell UNC Products Before Him, Brought Average Athleticism To His Game, Rushing For 1209 Yards In Three Years, But He Took A Sack On One Of Every Five (19.5%) Sacks In His Last Season At UNC. Theo Downside To Maye, Underestimating The Depths Of His Floor. Like Trubisky(Again), At Worse, You Think He's A Matt Ryan Type, Or Even An Eli Type, At Can Deliver In Elevated Moments Instead The Base Fell Out Under Trubisky Like Soggy Food A Biodegradable Plate, He Turned Up Far Less Than The Baseline. With Maye, Perhaps His Baseline Looks Like Jay Cutler, Maybe Joe Flacco, But Maybe He Sinks Into Blaine Gabbert Territory With Justin Herbert and Joe Burrow As The High End. 

Jayden Daniels—LSU Jayden Daniels Oddly Resembles Joe Burrow In Many Besides The Obvious Physical Feature. Both Quarterbacks Won The Heisman, Both Exhausted Their Last Two Years Of College Eligibility At LSU, Played In A Wide Open With Loads Of Pro Talent, And Posted Gargantuan Numbers; both Turned 24 The Year They Got Drafted In December, No Less. Seriously, The Scripts Writes Itself Sometimes. Daniels compares well to Burrow in play style; they work in the pocket like a pianist on keys. Daniels has an incredibly decisive and efficient passing Game. Daniels Finished With An Impressive 72.2% Completion Percentage And An Adjusted Completion Percentage Of 79.6% On Diet Of Large Chunk Play With An Average Depth Of Target Over 10 Yards. However, Daniels Doesn't possess the Canon Arm. PFF ranked him The Number One Best Deep Pass Thrower, but That's Mostly On Quality Rather Than Arm Strength; Daniels Under throws Receivers A Few Times On Film, But His Arm Talent is Scare Off Teams Because Daniels Showed Great Timing And Feel On Passes Over The Middle. Daniels Also Possesses Great Legs. Daniels Ran For 1128 Yards As A Quarterback Who Also Threw 40 Touchdowns. I Don't Know How Nimble He'll Appear When Faced By Better Athletes, Who Will Hunt Down The Bendable Legs Of His. No One Can Deny The Kid Can Scoot, But Those SEC Defenders Didn't Look For The Task Of Taking Daniels Down. You Have To Worry About Hits Because The Kid Took A lot Of Them, 1 Of Every 5 Pressures Defenses Converted Into Sacks Against Daniels, And Daniels Saw A lot Of Pressures And Got Sacked 22 Times—the One Year Of Top Flight Production For Daniels Doesn't Warrant Concern. Daniels played three seasons at Arizona State, and after accomplishing very little, he became a pro player before transferring to LSU and winning the Heisman in his second in the Bayou. If I Recall, Joe Burrow Produced One Season Of Pro Production—the Bengals Quarterback Rose From A Relative Unknown To The Number One Pick. Daniels Could Have an Argument At The Top, Given His Numbers, But Another Number His Age Defeats Him. 

JJ McCarthy--Michigan. 

The Draft's largest Enigma, McCarthy spent most of his final season in Annie Arbor with the spotlight of college football. Draft Scouts trained on him as Michigan worked their way to a national championship, and McCarthy came along for the ride. The Quarterbacks We've Covered Thus Far All Have Massive Counting Stats In One Area Or Another: Caleb's Big Time Passing, Jayden's Threat Capacity, Or Maye's Massive Strikes Down, Every First Round Quarterback Has Something Quantifiable Going For Them, Not McCarthy. Whether Michigan Didn't Trust Him With an Open Offense Or McCarthy Didn't Show Enough To Win Theo's Offensive Game Planners' "Trust." McCarthy Completed 72.3% of Passes, 332 Attempts(More Than Daniels), 2991 Passing Yards( Nearly 1000 Yards Less Than Daniels Threw), and 18 Touchdowns Total Touchdowns Than Daniels With 22 Touchdowns. Against Penn State A Few Months Ago, Michigan Attempted Just One Pass In The Second Half, 8 The Entire Game, Of A Tough Conference Win. McCarthy can't compete in those frames, and the average depth of Target(9.4) looks comical compared to Daniels, Williams, and Maye. 

Ok, Numbers That Do Work In McCarthy, An Incredible Athlete, 4.23 20 Yard Shuffle, 6.82 3-Cone(In The 90th Percentile) At Theo Combine and The Tape Backs Him Up. He's Excellent Throwing On The Move In The College Football Playoff McCarthy Makes Play On A Flea Flicker Where Heights Spins Around In The Backfield With Pressure Barreling Heights and Still possesses the Balance and Coordination To Flip His Hips and Deliver A Pass Downfield. He's Also Great At Escaping Said Pressure, Throwing From All Angles Of His Body, and Always On The Move In Michigan's Offense; McCarthy Can High Point Balls, Back Shoulder, and Throw Underneath. When Michigan's Offense Has McCarthy Throwing In Rhythm, Heights Possesses Polished Mechanics; He Puts The Ball In Trouble Times—just Trusting His Arm Too Much— His Placement Looked Pro Level Around The Middle—But He Missed Throws To The Outside even At The Combine. Coaching Will Help McCarthy Work Through a Lot of The Structural Inconsistencies In His Game. He's Got The Arm, But He Needs To Learn How To Take The Heat Off Of Some Of His Throws; using The Heater All The Time Cost Him A lot of Yardage. JJ Can Get Duped Into Trusting His Arm Strength, Theo Power Works On Tight Window Throws, But Those Throws Turn A Man Mad With Power And Heights. Need Coaching To Bring Him Into The Right Fundamentals. Another Negative For McCarthy: He's Got Small Hands. At The Combine, His Hands Measure Around 9 Inches--Kenny Pickett's, Small Hands--But McCarthy Has Shown A Propensity For Fumbling When Presare sures Put On Him. I think McCarthy Can Start on Day One; he's Raw But Reliable and Came From A Sort of pro-system

 Bo Nix--Oregon.

Beyond Arm Strength, Shear Statical Vagaries, Or Offensive Scheme, Upside vs. Stability Will Determine How the Team Will Answer The Question, Is Bo Nix Worth A First Round Pick? Touted AS "Knowledgable," With Six Years Of College Experience, He's The Master Jedi At This Stage. The 24-year-old Oregon Product Will Have His Name Called In April, And Thirsty NFL Will Have To Decide Whether The Productive And Consistent But Matured Prospect Could Prove The Long-Term Answer For Their Offense. He's Just One Of Many Men Who Needed That Extra COVID Year To Carve Out The Right Niche In The Right Situation And Make His Appeal To Draft decision-makers. Is he the guy of the last two years and not the young five-star freshman from Auburn? 

Bo's an Interesting Case Study; He's not Only Competing Against Draft Candidates--Most Of Whom Hold The Distinguished Pedigree Of "Knowledgable"-- But he is facing The Veteran Quarterback Whom He Also Ranks, Thanks To His Age. WHERE does He Belong In All Of This? By GI Joe Standard, "Knowing Is Half The Battle," Nix May Rank As The Best; some Of His Teammates Have Called Him The "…smartest guy on the field at all times.". However True, No C2 Taking To Confirm, He's Still Only Half The Battle. At Oregon, Nix could determine where he wanted to go with the ball before the snap, determining which matchups And Coverages would produce the best odds for his playmakers. Nix, However, Has Low-Level Arm Talent, And The Lack Of Juice In His Arm Only Becomes More Pronounced When Juxtaposed With JJ McCarthy And Drake Maye. For Maye And JJ, Tight Throws Look Routine, But For Nix, Those Same Throws Look Like Obstacles. The Offense At Oregon Featured A lot Of Quick Plays, And Nix Ate Up A lot Of Short Passes; he Only Contributed To 38.8% Of His Teams's Air Yards, Other Guys Better Than 60%, Adjusted Completion Percentage Along With His Turnover Worthy Play Rate, Yards On Screen Passes Ranked First. Still, He's Near The Bottom In Average Depth Of Target, Big Time Throw Rate All Rank Near The Bottom. He's Nearly The Complete Antithesis Of The Players Ahead Of Him. He's Got Good Enough Athleticism and Good Enough Physical Build With Football In His Blood—His Dad Played AT Auburn, And His Parents Named Him Bo. His Ability To Read Coverage In College May Deceive Him In The Pros As The Depth And Strategy of Defenses Become Far More Elaborate. In his many months in college football, Nix has played against a host of the NFL, including Herbert, Mackey Jones, and Joe Burrow. In Many Ways, Bo Acts Like A Repeat Student Finally Catching Up With The Upper Class. His Numbers Feels Insubstantial Because You Expect A Grown Man Amongst Mostly Boys To Put up Good Numbers, 4508 Passing Yards,45 Touchdowns, 77.3 Completion Percentage, 3 Picks And A Passer Rating Of 135.7